Do flights get cheaper the closer you get to departure?

The Myth of Last-Minute Flight Deals: Why Booking Early Often Saves You More

We’ve all heard the whispers of incredible last-minute flight deals, stories of spontaneous travelers snagging rock-bottom prices on empty seats just days before departure. While these anecdotes might tantalize, the reality for international flights, particularly those originating from the US, is often quite different. Instead of dropping, prices tend to climb steadily as the departure date approaches. So, does waiting until the last minute really save you money? In most cases, the answer is a resounding no.

The sweet spot for securing the best price on an international flight from the US typically falls within a window well before departure, often starting around 50 days out. Beyond this point, airfares often begin an upward trajectory, sometimes dramatically. This price increase isn’t random; it’s driven by several factors.

Airlines use sophisticated pricing algorithms that take into account demand, seat availability, and historical booking patterns. As seats fill up, especially in premium cabins or during peak travel seasons, the remaining seats become more valuable. Last-minute travelers, often business travelers or those with unexpected trips, are less price-sensitive and willing to pay a premium for convenience. Airlines capitalize on this by increasing prices closer to departure.

While there might be the occasional exception, particularly for less popular routes or during periods of unexpectedly low demand, these instances are increasingly rare. Banking on a last-minute miracle deal for international travel is a risky strategy that could leave you with significantly higher costs or even no available seats at all.

Instead of gambling on last-minute price drops, a more prudent approach is to start your flight search early and book once you find a price that fits your budget. By securing your flights in advance, you not only lock in a potentially lower fare but also gain peace of mind knowing your travel plans are solidified. You can then focus on other aspects of your trip, like accommodation and activities, without the added stress of fluctuating flight prices.

Don’t fall prey to the myth of last-minute deals. For international travel from the US, planning ahead and booking early is often the smartest way to secure the best price and avoid escalating costs. Start your search today and grab the lowest fares while you can!